Navy 
W-L: ( 8- 7) PR = 93.9139
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
201 A High Point Atlantic 10 ( 7- 9, 93.0) 14-10
208 H Iona MAAC ( 2-13, 86.5) 22- 9
216 H Towson CAA ( 9- 5, 93.6) 14-10
222 A Penn State B1G (10- 4, 98.2) 7-13
301 H Boston Univ Patriot (11- 5, 95.4) 13- 9
307 H Lehigh Patriot ( 5-10, 94.1) 8-13
315 H JHU B1G ( 6- 8, 95.7) 9-12
318 H Le Moyne NEC ( 9- 5, 89.7) 8- 5
322 A Holy Cross Patriot ( 4-11, 90.6) 9- 8
329 A Colgate Patriot (10- 7, 96.5) 9-14
404 H Lafayette Patriot (10- 6, 94.3) 14- 8
412 H Army Patriot (12- 2, 97.9) 11-12
418 A Loyola Patriot ( 3-11, 93.3) 11-16
425 A Bucknell Patriot ( 5- 9, 92.4) 14-11
429 A Lafayette Patriot (10- 6, 94.3) 5- 9
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
201 A High Point 14-10 4 0 + 3.91
208 H Iona 22- 9 13 8 0.00
216 H Towson 14-10 4 1 + 2.86
222 A Penn State 7-13 -6 -5 0.00
301 H Boston Univ 13- 9 4 -1 ++ 4.62
307 H Lehigh 8-13 -5 1 -- -5.69
315 H JHU 9-12 -3 -1 - -2.08
318 H Le Moyne 8- 5 3 5 - -2.00
322 A Holy Cross 9- 8 1 2 -1.50
329 A Colgate 9-14 -5 -3 -1.55
404 H Lafayette 14- 8 6 0 ++ 4.52
412 H Army 11-12 -1 -3 + 2.15
418 A Loyola 11-16 -5 0 -- -4.77
425 A Bucknell 14-11 3 1 + 2.37
429 A Lafayette 5- 9 -4 -1 - -2.77
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
307 H Lehigh 8-13 -5 1 -- -5.69
418 A Loyola 11-16 -5 0 -- -4.77
315 H JHU 9-12 -3 -1 - -2.08
318 H Le Moyne 8- 5 3 5 - -2.00
429 A Lafayette 5- 9 -4 -1 - -2.77
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
301 H Boston Univ 13- 9 4 -1 ++ 4.62
404 H Lafayette 14- 8 6 0 ++ 4.52
201 A High Point 14-10 4 0 + 3.91
216 H Towson 14-10 4 1 + 2.86
412 H Army 11-12 -1 -3 + 2.15
425 A Bucknell 14-11 3 1 + 2.37
|
Navy Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Air Force |
Navy |
|
Navy   2- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
Albany |
Navy |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Navy |
Army |
Army |
Army |
 
| |
Bellarmine |
Navy |
|
 
| Navy |
Binghamton |
Navy |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) |
Navy |
Boston Univ |
Navy |
Navy |
 
|
Brown |
Navy |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Navy |
Bryant |
Navy |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Navy |
Bucknell |
Navy |
Navy |
 
| |
Canisius |
Navy |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Navy |
Cleveland St |
Navy |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Navy |
Colgate |
Colgate |
Colgate |
 
| |
Cornell |
Cornell |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Cornell |
Dartmouth |
Dartmouth |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Dartmouth |
Delaware |
Navy |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Navy |
Denver |
Denver |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Denver |
Detroit |
Navy |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Navy |
Drexel |
Navy |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) |
Navy |
Duke |
Duke |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Duke |
Fairfield |
Fairfield |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Fairfield |
Georgetown |
Georgetown |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) |
Georgetown |
Hampton |
Navy |
|
Navy   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Harvard |
Harvard |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Harvard |
High Point |
Navy |
Navy |
 
| |
Hobart |
Navy |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) |
Navy |
Hofstra |
Navy |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Navy |
Holy Cross |
Navy |
Navy |
 
| |
Iona |
Navy |
Navy |
 
| |
Jacksonville |
Navy |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Navy |
JHU |
JHU |
JHU |
 
| |
Lafayette |
Lafayette |
|
Lafayette   6- 2 vs 4- 4 |
|
Le Moyne |
Navy |
Navy |
 
| |
Lehigh |
Lehigh |
Lehigh |
 
| |
LIU |
Navy |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Navy |
Loyola |
Loyola |
Loyola |
 
|
Manhattan |
Navy |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Navy |
Marist |
Navy |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Navy |
Marquette |
Navy |
|
 
| Navy |
Maryland |
Maryland |
|
Maryland   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
UMass |
Navy |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Navy |
Mass-Lowell |
Navy |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Navy |
Mercer |
Navy |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Navy |
Mercyhurst |
Navy |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Navy |
Merrimack |
Navy |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) |
Navy |
Michigan |
Michigan |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Michigan |
Monmouth |
Navy |
|
Navy   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Mt St Marys |
Navy |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Navy |
NJIT |
Navy |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) |
Navy |
No Carolina |
No Carolina |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) |
No Carolina |
Notre Dame |
Notre Dame |
|
 
| Notre Dame |
Ohio State |
Ohio State |
|
Ohio State   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Penn |
Penn |
|
 
| Penn |
Penn State |
Penn State |
Penn State |
 
| |
Princeton |
Princeton |
|
Princeton   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Providence |
Navy |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Navy |
Queens |
Navy |
|
Navy   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Quinnipiac |
Navy |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Navy |
Richmond |
Richmond |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Richmond |
Rob Morris |
Navy |
|
Navy   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
Rutgers |
Rutgers |
|
Rutgers   3- 2 vs 0- 5 |
|
Sacred Heart |
Navy |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Navy |
Siena |
Siena |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Siena |
St B'venture |
Navy |
|
Navy   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
St Johns |
Navy |
|
 
| Navy |
St Josephs |
St Josephs |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
St Josephs |
Stony Brook |
Navy |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Navy |
Syracuse |
Syracuse |
|
Syracuse   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
Towson |
Navy |
Navy |
 
| |
UMBC |
Navy |
|
Navy   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Utah |
Navy |
|
 
| Navy |
Vermont |
Navy |
|
 
| Navy |
Villanova |
Villanova |
|
tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) |
Villanova |
Virginia |
Virginia |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 1) |
Virginia |
VMI |
Navy |
|
Navy   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
Wagner |
Navy |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Navy |
Yale |
Yale |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Yale |
PowerWise = 47

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.34
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A High Point ( 7- 9, 93.0) 14-10 -6.94 11.87 0.86 0.96 12.17
0 H Iona ( 2-13, 86.5) 22- 9 -13.45 5.36 -0.86 0.96 4.31
0 H Towson ( 9- 5, 93.6) 14-10 -6.27 12.54 -0.86 0.96 11.17
0 A Penn State (10- 4, 98.2) 7-13 -1.72 17.09 0.86 0.96 -0.83
0 H Boston Univ (11- 5, 95.4) 13- 9 -4.51 14.30 -0.86 0.96 12.85
0 H Lehigh ( 5-10, 94.1) 8-13 -5.81 13.00 -0.86 0.96 -6.38
0 H JHU ( 6- 8, 95.7) 9-12 -4.20 14.61 -0.86 0.96 -4.84
0 H Le Moyne ( 9- 5, 89.7) 8- 5 -10.19 8.62 -0.86 0.96 7.42
0 A Holy Cross ( 4-11, 90.6) 9- 8 -9.34 9.47 0.86 0.96 9.87
0 A Colgate (10- 7, 96.5) 9-14 -3.40 15.42 0.86 0.96 -2.43
0 H Lafayette (10- 6, 94.3) 14- 8 -5.61 13.20 -0.86 0.96 11.80
0 H Army (12- 2, 97.9) 11-12 -1.98 16.84 -0.86 0.96 -2.71
0 A Loyola ( 3-11, 93.3) 11-16 -6.61 12.20 0.86 0.96 -5.50
0 A Bucknell ( 5- 9, 92.4) 14-11 -7.47 11.34 0.86 0.96 11.66
0 A Lafayette (10- 6, 94.3) 5- 9 -5.61 13.20 0.86 0.96 -4.54
------
54.02
|
winning pts = 81.2444 losing points = -27.2230
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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