UPDATED: 09-08-25 10:43 PDT

men Navy 1
  
Navy                  
W-L: ( 8- 7) PR = 93.9139

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 201 A High Point Atlantic 10 ( 7- 9, 93.0) 14-10 208 H Iona MAAC ( 2-13, 86.5) 22- 9 216 H Towson CAA ( 9- 5, 93.6) 14-10 222 A Penn State B1G (10- 4, 98.2) 7-13 301 H Boston Univ Patriot (11- 5, 95.4) 13- 9 307 H Lehigh Patriot ( 5-10, 94.1) 8-13 315 H JHU B1G ( 6- 8, 95.7) 9-12 318 H Le Moyne NEC ( 9- 5, 89.7) 8- 5 322 A Holy Cross Patriot ( 4-11, 90.6) 9- 8 329 A Colgate Patriot (10- 7, 96.5) 9-14 404 H Lafayette Patriot (10- 6, 94.3) 14- 8 412 H Army Patriot (12- 2, 97.9) 11-12 418 A Loyola Patriot ( 3-11, 93.3) 11-16 425 A Bucknell Patriot ( 5- 9, 92.4) 14-11 429 A Lafayette Patriot (10- 6, 94.3) 5- 9

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   201 A High Point             14-10       4     0    +      3.91
   208 H Iona                   22- 9      13     8           0.00
   216 H Towson                 14-10       4     1    +      2.86
   222 A Penn State              7-13      -6    -5           0.00
   301 H Boston Univ            13- 9       4    -1    ++     4.62
   307 H Lehigh                  8-13      -5     1    --    -5.69
   315 H JHU                     9-12      -3    -1    -     -2.08
   318 H Le Moyne                8- 5       3     5    -     -2.00
   322 A Holy Cross              9- 8       1     2          -1.50
   329 A Colgate                 9-14      -5    -3          -1.55
   404 H Lafayette              14- 8       6     0    ++     4.52
   412 H Army                   11-12      -1    -3    +      2.15
   418 A Loyola                 11-16      -5     0    --    -4.77
   425 A Bucknell               14-11       3     1    +      2.37
   429 A Lafayette               5- 9      -4    -1    -     -2.77

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 H Lehigh                  8-13      -5     1    --    -5.69
   418 A Loyola                 11-16      -5     0    --    -4.77
   315 H JHU                     9-12      -3    -1    -     -2.08
   318 H Le Moyne                8- 5       3     5    -     -2.00
   429 A Lafayette               5- 9      -4    -1    -     -2.77

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 H Boston Univ            13- 9       4    -1    ++     4.62
   404 H Lafayette              14- 8       6     0    ++     4.52
   201 A High Point             14-10       4     0    +      3.91
   216 H Towson                 14-10       4     1    +      2.86
   412 H Army                   11-12      -1    -3    +      2.15
   425 A Bucknell               14-11       3     1    +      2.37

Navy Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Air Force Navy Navy   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Albany Navy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Navy
Army Army Army  
Bellarmine Navy   Navy
Binghamton Navy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Navy
Boston Univ Navy Navy  
Brown Navy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Navy
Bryant Navy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Navy
Bucknell Navy Navy  
Canisius Navy insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Navy
Cleveland St Navy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Navy
Colgate Colgate Colgate  
Cornell Cornell insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Cornell
Dartmouth Dartmouth tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Dartmouth
Delaware Navy insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Navy
Denver Denver tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Denver
Detroit Navy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Navy
Drexel Navy insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) Navy
Duke Duke tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Duke
Fairfield Fairfield tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Fairfield
Georgetown Georgetown insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Georgetown
Hampton Navy Navy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Harvard Harvard tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Harvard
High Point Navy Navy  
Hobart Navy insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Navy
Hofstra Navy insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Navy
Holy Cross Navy Navy  
Iona Navy Navy  
Jacksonville Navy tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Navy
JHU JHU JHU  
Lafayette Lafayette Lafayette   6- 2 vs 4- 4
Le Moyne Navy Navy  
Lehigh Lehigh Lehigh  
LIU Navy tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Navy
Loyola Loyola Loyola  
Manhattan Navy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Navy
Marist Navy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Navy
Marquette Navy   Navy
Maryland Maryland Maryland   3- 0 vs 0- 3
UMass Navy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Navy
Mass-Lowell Navy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Navy
Mercer Navy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Navy
Mercyhurst Navy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Navy
Merrimack Navy insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Navy
Michigan Michigan insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Michigan
Monmouth Navy Navy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Mt St Marys Navy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Navy
NJIT Navy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Navy
No Carolina No Carolina insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) No Carolina
Notre Dame Notre Dame   Notre Dame
Ohio State Ohio State Ohio State   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Penn Penn   Penn
Penn State Penn State Penn State  
Princeton Princeton Princeton   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Providence Navy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Navy
Queens Navy Navy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Quinnipiac Navy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Navy
Richmond Richmond insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Richmond
Rob Morris Navy Navy   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Rutgers Rutgers Rutgers   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Sacred Heart Navy tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Navy
Siena Siena insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Siena
St B'venture Navy Navy   3- 0 vs 1- 2
St Johns Navy   Navy
St Josephs St Josephs insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) St Josephs
Stony Brook Navy insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Navy
Syracuse Syracuse Syracuse   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Towson Navy Navy  
UMBC Navy Navy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Utah Navy   Navy
Vermont Navy   Navy
Villanova Villanova tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Villanova
Virginia Virginia insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 1) Virginia
VMI Navy Navy   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Wagner Navy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Navy
Yale Yale tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Yale

PowerWise = 47


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.34

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A High Point      ( 7- 9, 93.0)    14-10       -6.94      11.87       0.86         0.96            12.17
   0 H Iona            ( 2-13, 86.5)    22- 9      -13.45       5.36      -0.86         0.96             4.31
   0 H Towson          ( 9- 5, 93.6)    14-10       -6.27      12.54      -0.86         0.96            11.17
   0 A Penn State      (10- 4, 98.2)     7-13       -1.72      17.09       0.86         0.96            -0.83
   0 H Boston Univ     (11- 5, 95.4)    13- 9       -4.51      14.30      -0.86         0.96            12.85
   0 H Lehigh          ( 5-10, 94.1)     8-13       -5.81      13.00      -0.86         0.96            -6.38
   0 H JHU             ( 6- 8, 95.7)     9-12       -4.20      14.61      -0.86         0.96            -4.84
   0 H Le Moyne        ( 9- 5, 89.7)     8- 5      -10.19       8.62      -0.86         0.96             7.42
   0 A Holy Cross      ( 4-11, 90.6)     9- 8       -9.34       9.47       0.86         0.96             9.87
   0 A Colgate         (10- 7, 96.5)     9-14       -3.40      15.42       0.86         0.96            -2.43
   0 H Lafayette       (10- 6, 94.3)    14- 8       -5.61      13.20      -0.86         0.96            11.80
   0 H Army            (12- 2, 97.9)    11-12       -1.98      16.84      -0.86         0.96            -2.71
   0 A Loyola          ( 3-11, 93.3)    11-16       -6.61      12.20       0.86         0.96            -5.50
   0 A Bucknell        ( 5- 9, 92.4)    14-11       -7.47      11.34       0.86         0.96            11.66
   0 A Lafayette       (10- 6, 94.3)     5- 9       -5.61      13.20       0.86         0.96            -4.54
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        54.02

winning pts = 81.2444 losing points = -27.2230

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------